Tuesday, May 23, 2017

% Changes, 2016

Ranking jumps are interesting, but what they really show is how names change relative to each other. If you want to see how much a name's popularity is changing on its own, you'll have to use a different metric.

Here are the names that gained the most actual usage (as measured in % of boys/girls born):

Boys:
  1. Mateo, +0.08% (0.25% ---> 0.32%)
  2. Oliver, +0.07% (0.57% ---> 0.65%)
  3. Bryson, +0.06% (0.15% ---> 0.22%)
  4. Lincoln, +0.06% (0.29% ---> 0.35%)
  5. Benjamin, +0.05% (0.67% ---> 0.73%)
  6. Grayson, +0.04% (0.39% ---> 0.43%)
  7. Owen, +0.04% (0.47% ---> 0.51%)
  8. Theodore, +0.04% (0.2% ---> 0.24%)
  9. Sebastian, +0.04% (0.47% ---> 0.51%)
  10. Greyson, +0.04% (0.18% ---> 0.21%)
  11. Leo, +0.04% (0.23% ---> 0.26%)
  12. Maverick, +0.04% (0.11% ---> 0.15%)
  13. Lucas, +0.03% (0.6% ---> 0.64%)
  14. Ezekiel, +0.03% (0.14% ---> 0.17%)
  15. Ezra, +0.03% (0.21% ---> 0.24%)
  16. Leonardo, +0.03% (0.19% ---> 0.21%)
  17. Santiago, +0.03% (0.16% ---> 0.18%)
  18. Everett, +0.02% (0.15% ---> 0.17%)
  19. Gael, +0.02% (0.09% ---> 0.11%)
  20. Conor, +0.02% (0.03% ---> 0.05%)

So Theodore, for instance, went from being 1 in every 500 boys born to about 1 in every 400. So while the number of baby Theodores went up from 2015 to 2016, you're not actually all that more likely to meet one. :)

Girls:
  1. Charlotte, +0.09% (0.59% ---> 0.68%)
  2. Adeline, +0.09% (0.12% ---> 0.21%)
  3. Riley, +0.08% (0.29% ---> 0.37%)
  4. Amelia, +0.05% (0.51% ---> 0.56%)
  5. Adaline, +0.05% (0.05% ---> 0.1%)
  6. Luna, +0.05% (0.14% ---> 0.19%)
  7. Emilia, +0.04% (0.11% ---> 0.16%)
  8. Camila, +0.04% (0.27% ---> 0.31%)
  9. Evelyn, +0.04% (0.48% ---> 0.52%)
  10. Nova, +0.04% (0.08% ---> 0.12%)
  11. Eleanor, +0.04% (0.23% ---> 0.27%)
  12. Scarlett, +0.03% (0.37% ---> 0.4%)
  13. Teagan, +0.03% (0.07% ---> 0.11%)
  14. Kinsley, +0.03% (0.14% ---> 0.17%)
  15. Quinn, +0.03% (0.16% ---> 0.19%)
  16. Aria, +0.03% (0.33% ---> 0.36%)
  17. Everly, +0.03% (0.12% ---> 0.15%)
  18. Harper, +0.03% (0.53% ---> 0.56%)
  19. Penelope, +0.03% (0.31% ---> 0.33%)
  20. Remi, +0.02% (0.03% ---> 0.06%)
There are the multiple Adaline/Adelines! Yep, they're getting pretty popular! Amelia & Emilia, Charlotte & Scarlett, Evelyn & Everly--there are definitely some sounds we're all drawn to right now. 

Pure change in % is going to favor names that were more popular to begin with, but what about names that were fairly uncommon in 2015? For that, we can check the popularity ratios. That will tell us how much more likely you are to meet a baby with that name in 2016 than in 2015. 

Boys:
  1. Kylo (6.86x)
  2. Kion (5.55x)
  3. Yoandri (4.26x)
  4. Zabdiel (3.39x)
  5. Kyon (3.22x)
  6. Saint (3.14x)
  7. Aadvik (2.99x)
  8. Murad (2.82x)
  9. Finnick (2.68x)
  10. Egypt (2.68x)
  11. Aceson (2.57x)
  12. Bowie (2.47x)
  13. Yuvaan (2.47x)
  14. Bellamy (2.46x)
  15. Keylor (2.45x)
  16. Ayaansh (2.33x)
  17. Khaza (2.28x)
  18. Adonis (2.27x)
  19. Dietrich (2.09x)
  20. Mars (2.09x)

Girls:
  1. Yurani (97.11x) [estimated; didn't appear in 2015]
  2. Kehlani (6.72x)
  3. Yamila (5.47x)
  4. Lyanna (3.51x)
  5. Aavya (3.36x)
  6. Arlet (3.28x)
  7. Ivanka (3.02x)
  8. Oaklyn (2.95x)
  9. Royalty (2.69x)
  10. Harlyn (2.68x)
  11. Teigen (2.54x)
  12. Elowen (2.38x)
  13. Annora (2.25x)
  14. Arleth (2.22x)
  15. Maisyn (2.14x)
  16. Adaline (2.09x)
  17. Blayke (2.05x)
  18. Zaya (2.05x)
  19. Khari (2.04x)
  20. Rae (2.04x)
Despite large gains, most of these are still pretty uncommon--Annora was given to 85 girls. Here are the names you're more likely to start hearing everyday, from the Top 500:

Boys:
  1. Adonis (2.27x)
  2. Zayn (1.85x)
  3. Conor (1.76x)
  4. Arlo (1.71x)
  5. Bodhi (1.59x)
  6. Wade (1.44x)
  7. Killian (1.43x)
  8. Ace (1.42x)
  9. Bryson (1.42x)
  10. Legend (1.41x)

Girls:
  1. Adaline (2.09x)
  2. Aviana (1.97x)
  3. Avianna (1.9x)
  4. Remi (1.75x)
  5. Ariah (1.73x)
  6. Adeline (1.73x)
  7. Thea (1.64x)
  8. Amara (1.59x)
  9. Saylor (1.53x)
  10. Remington (1.52x)
Adeline, I thought I told you to slow down! :p Interesting how 6 of the 10 girls' names (not to mention 3 of the boys') are A-names. Happy to see Arlo, Killian, Thea, & Amara still going strong. 

Saturday, May 20, 2017

Rare but Real (2016)

Let's take a quick break from statistical analysis. ;)  I'm always fascinated to see what rarities we can encounter down at the very bottom of the SSA lists, the names given to only 5 babies.
My only restrictions are that they can't have other spellings further up on the list, and I can't have mentioned it on a previous 'Rare but Real' (2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015).
Let's see what we can find....

Boys:
  • Adoniah (ad-oh-NYE-ah, [Biblical] Hebrew)--form of Adonijah, "my Lord is Yahweh"
  • Aldwin (AHLD-win, Germanic)--older form of Edwin, "old friend"
  • Aniceto (ah-nee-SEH-toh, Portuguese, Spanish; ah-nee-CHEH-toh, Italian)--from Greek, "unconquerable"
  • Arvo (AHR-voh, Finnish)--"value"
  • Astraeus (as-TREE-us, [Latinized] Greek)--"star"
  • Baird (BEHRD, English)--from Scottish surname, prob. "bard"
  • Enver (en-VEHR, Turkish, EN-vehr, Albanian)--from Arabic, "brighter"
  • Erling (AHR-ling, Norwegian, EHR-ling, Danish, Swedish)--"descendant of the chief"
  • Hezron (HEZ-ron, [Biblical] Hebrew)--"enclosure"
  • Janvier (zhawn-vee-AY, French)--"January"
  • Joris (YOHR-is, Dutch, German; zhoh-REES, French)--form of George
  • Liav (lee-AV, Hebrew)--"my father"
  • Lonán (LOH-nawn, Irish)--"blackbird"
  • Remiel (REM-ee-el, [Biblical] Hebrew)--"mercy of God"
  • Stelios (STEL-ee-ohs, Greek)--"pillar"
  • Wystan (WIS-tan, [archaic] English)--"war stone"

Girls:
  • Abiela (ah-bee-EL-lah, Spanish)--from Biblical Hebrew, "God is my father"
  • Aelia (EYE-lee-ah, AY-lee-ah, EE-lee-ah, Latin)--original form of Elia, "sun"
  • Aureliana (ow-reh-lee-AH-nah, Spanish, Italian)--from Latin, "golden"
  • Ceridwen (keh-RID-wen, Welsh)--origin uncertain, poss. "blessed poetry", "poetry woman", or "crooked woman". 
  • Cipriana (chee-pree-AH-nah, Italian; sip-ree-AH-nah, Portuguese, Spanish)--from Latin, "of Cyprus"
  • Eleri (eh-LEHR-ee, Welsh)--origin unknown, poss. "very bitter" or a form of Hilarius/Hilaria
  • Elisama (el-ee-SAH-mah, Portuguese)--from Biblical Hebrew, "God has heard" [the original name, Elishama, is masculine in the Bible]
  • Faustine (foh-STEEN, French)--from Latin, "lucky"
  • Gilia (JILL-ee-ah, [medieval] English, JEEL-yah, [medieval] Italian)--feminine of Egidio/Giles or poss. from Germanic, "merry"
  • Isidra (ee-SEE-drah, Spanish)--form of Isadora
  • Kirsi (KEER-see, Finnish)--short form of Kirstin or Kirsikka
  • Lalitha (lah-LEET-hah, Indian [Tamil])--from Sanskit, "charming"
  • Lilias (LIL-ee-as, Scottish)--form of Lillian
  • Nino (NEE-noh, [ancient] Greek, Georgian)--unknown origin, poss. related to Nineveh, and/or the Babylonian goddess Nina. [also a boys' name in many languages]
  • Sarit (sah-REET, Hebrew)--diminutive of Sarah
  • Stana (STAH-nah, Croatian, Serbian, Romanian, Italian)--short form of Slavic -stan- names, "become, happen"
  • Tabea (tah-BEH-ah, German)--short form of Tabitha
  • Velia (VEH-lee-ah, Italian)--origin unknown, poss. from Latin, "veiled", or from the ancient Greek town of Velia

Unisex (I know, I don't usually have a unisex category, but I just happened to notice one name given to exactly 5 boys & 5 girls, and it intrigued me):
  • Yunuen (yoo-noo-EN, Spanish)--from an island in central Mexico, poss. from Tarascan, "crescent"

Thursday, May 18, 2017

Ranking Jumps, 2016 (girls)

Yay, girls turn!

First off, the top risers from the Top 2500:
  1. Yurani, +??? (not ranked --> #2040)
  2. Yamila, +5540 (#7955-->#2415)
  3. Aavya, +3096 (#5423-->#2327)
  4. Kehlani, +2455 (#3324-->#869)
  5. Teigen, +2224 (#4695-->#2471)
  6. Arlet, +2135 (#3807-->#1672)
  7. Ivanka, +2119 (#3958-->#1839)
  8. Elowen, +1815 (#4044-->#2229)
  9. Annora, +1652 (#3881-->#2229)
  10. Lyanna, +1629 (#2784-->#1155)
  11. Oaklyn, +1620 (#3045-->#1425)
  12. Maisyn, +1536 (#3807-->#2271)
  13. Khari, +1429 (#3737-->#2308)
  14. Jamaya, +1336 (#3680-->#2344)
  15. Jupiter, +1314 (#3680-->#2366)
  16. Zailey, +1307 (#3461-->#2154)
  17. Grettel, +1278 (#3507-->#2229)
  18. Khalani, +1274 (#3461-->#2187)
  19. Advika, +1266 (#3737-->#2471)
  20. Bowie, +1244 (#3680-->#2436)
Whoa, what is Yurani? Did Larry Hernandez have another daughter? :p (apparently not, Google is bringing up a telenovela character and a Venezuelan waterfall; I would blame the telenovela)
Also, Jupiter? For girls? Huh. Elowen & Annora are no surprise; I feel like they've been on everyone's list recently.
Rather sad that Rey didn't quite jump nearly as much as Kylo and Ren did for the boys (it went from unranked to #2712).

Next, the names making the move from 'obscure' to 'uncommon', from the Top 1500:
  1. Kehlani, +2455 (#3324-->#869)
  2. Lyanna, +1629 (#2784-->#1155)
  3. Oaklyn, +1620 (#3045-->#1425)
  4. Harlyn, +1177 (#2388-->#1211)
  5. Merritt, +829 (#2303-->#1474)
  6. Zaya, +819 (#2126-->#1307)
  7. Rae, +797 (#2064-->#1267)
  8. Arleth, +759 (#1780-->#1021)
  9. Aveline, +683 (#2002-->#1319)
  10. Arlette, +626 (#1661-->#1035)
  11. Royalty, +617 (#1149-->#532)
  12. Waverly, +612 (#1731-->#1119)
  13. Joey, +557 (#2043-->#1486)
  14. Reya, +548 (#1884-->#1336)
  15. Emberly, +538 (#1780-->#1242)
  16. Coralie, +531 (#1920-->#1389)
  17. Saoirse, +464 (#1442-->#978)
  18. Ophelia, +395 (#975-->#580)
  19. Hensley, +395 (#1798-->#1403)
  20. Darla, +379 (#1679-->#1300)
Oh, I love Arlette! And Arleth is a Spanish variant. Saoirse, CoralieOphelia, & Darla are lovely as well. 

Still too "out there"? Here are the names to really keep an eye on--the fastest risers in the Top 500:
  1. Avianna, +295 (#748-->#453)
  2. Aviana, +269 (#661-->#392)
  3. Remi, +205 (#500-->#295)
  4. Ariah, +202 (#512-->#310)
  5. Adaline, +193 (#364-->#171)
  6. Thea, +176 (#463-->#287)
  7. Saylor, +167 (#607-->#440)
  8. Remington, +163 (#621-->#458)
  9. Amara, +161 (#461-->#300)
  10. Margot, +159 (#592-->#433)
  11. Samara, +159 (#634-->#475)
  12. Ariyah, +156 (#607-->#451)
  13. Blake, +126 (#423-->#297)
  14. Leia, +100 (#421-->#321)
  15. Fernanda, +98 (#559-->#461)
  16. Evie, +94 (#512-->#418)
  17. Rowan, +92 (#331-->#239)
  18. Emersyn, +90 (#393-->#303)
  19. Freya, +87 (#417-->#330)
  20. Blakely, +84 (#354-->#270)
Only Adaline this year? Is Adeline/Adelyn/Adalyn finally slowing down, or did other spellings just get too popular to move up quickly? (I'm guessing the latter)
At least we have Leia, if not Rey. :)

And last but not least, the name brand-new to the Top 1000:
  • Aadhya
  • Ailani
  • Alessia
  • Amayah
  • Antonella
  • Ari
  • Bexley
  • Blaire
  • Calliope
  • Ellianna
  • Harleigh
  • Itzayana
  • Kaylani
  • Kehlani
  • Maylee
  • Nalani
  • Novalee
  • Poppy
  • Reign
  • Royalty
  • Saoirse
  • Sylvie
  • Tinsley

Monday, May 15, 2017

Ranking Jumps, 2016 (boys)

I think I'll start with the boys this year. :)

Here are the quickest-rising names from the Top 2500 & up:
  1. Kyon, +3013 (#5471-->#2458)
  2. Kion, +2954 (#4379-->#1425)
  3. Yoandri, +2641 (#4270-->#1629)
  4. Murad, +2360 (#4675-->#2315)
  5. Kylo, +2312 (#3213-->#901)
  6. Aceson, +2217 (#4675-->#2458)
  7. Bellamy, +1955 (#4270-->#2315)
  8. Aadvik, +1944 (#3748-->#1804)
  9. Zabdiel, +1828 (#3339-->#1511)
  10. Egypt, +1758 (#3652-->#1894)
  11. Keylor, +1690 (#3748-->#2058)
  12. Yuvaan, +1651 (#3652-->#2001)
  13. Saint, +1582 (#3061-->#1479)
  14. Dietrich, +1538 (#3853-->#2315)
  15. Mars, +1538 (#3853-->#2315)
  16. Prestyn, +1533 (#3957-->#2424)
  17. Ayaansh, +1455 (#3402-->#1947)
  18. Kreed, +1399 (#3748-->#2349)
  19. Khaza, +1386 (#3280-->#1894)
  20. Franky, +1201 (#3490-->#2289)
Oo, Dietrich & Bellamy are nice surprises. I wonder if they're be able to keep that momentum up.

Now the names that are probably a bit more familiar, from the Top 1500:
  1. Kion, +2954 (#4379-->#1425)
  2. Kylo, +2312 (#3213-->#901)
  3. Saint, +1582 (#3061-->#1479)
  4. Finnick, +1072 (#2311-->#1239)
  5. Bowie, +1042 (#2396-->#1354)
  6. Azrael, +661 (#2157-->#1496)
  7. Kairo, +608 (#1829-->#1221)
  8. Kiaan, +599 (#1741-->#1142)
  9. Remi, +594 (#1709-->#1115)
  10. Baker, +580 (#1780-->#1200)
  11. Kyng, +517 (#1588-->#1071)
  12. Ren, +508 (#2004-->#1496)
  13. Mathis, +482 (#1773-->#1291)
  14. Gianluca, +455 (#1606-->#1151)
  15. Calder, +421 (#1856-->#1435)
  16. Shepard, +411 (#1453-->#1042)
  17. Kaisen, +409 (#1632-->#1223)
  18. Gerson, +402 (#1881-->#1479)
  19. Kace, +400 (#1577-->#1177)
  20. Khari, +394 (#1529-->#1135)
Both Kylo and Ren? I can hope this means we'll see a similar rise in Rey for girls. :p

Finally, the names to really keep an eye on--the fastest risers in the Top 500:
  1. Adonis, +308 (#702-->#394)
  2. Zayn, +223 (#643-->#420)
  3. Conor, +154 (#477-->#323)
  4. Arlo, +153 (#502-->#349)
  5. Bodhi, +136 (#499-->#363)
  6. Wade, +115 (#521-->#406)
  7. Hayes, +106 (#539-->#433)
  8. Ariel, +98 (#598-->#500)
  9. Matias, +97 (#458-->#361)
  10. Johan, +90 (#553-->#463)
  11. Atlas, +87 (#490-->#403)
  12. Ace, +85 (#418-->#333)
  13. Killian, +84 (#348-->#264)
  14. Legend, +81 (#392-->#311)
  15. Ellis, +73 (#419-->#346)
  16. Tobias, +70 (#316-->#246)
  17. Royce, +69 (#530-->#461)
  18. Thiago, +67 (#333-->#266)
  19. Odin, +62 (#445-->#383)
  20. Mathias, +62 (#561-->#499)
Is that 3 mythological names (4 if you count the more familiar Conor)? Wow! Maybe the boys will someday catch up to the girls in that category. I can hope, anyway. And Tobias again! That's three years in a row now. And Mathias & Matias (as well as Mathis from the Top 1500)--interesting. 

And here are the names completely new to the Top 1000:
  • Ahmir
  • Alistair
  • Benicio
  • Creed
  • Eason
  • Fox
  • Greysen
  • Jad
  • Jeremias
  • Kaiser
  • Kylo
  • Merrick
  • Mikael
  • Shepherd
  • Tadeo
  • Wesson
  • Yisroel
  • Zyaire

Friday, May 12, 2017

Aidens Gonna Aid (2016)

The SSA's 2016 name data is up, and it's time for some fun!
It's kind of tradition for me to start with this one now before I head out of town, I think.  ;)

Usual disclaimer: there are imported names that look like -aidens, but aren't properly pronounced as -aidens (Adán, Raiden, Nayden, and probably others). However, I have no way of knowing which pronunciation was intended, and chances are some parents are using them as -aidens anyway.


A:
  • Aaden
  • Aadon
  • Aadyn
  • Aaiden
  • Aaidyn
  • Aayden
  • Adan
  • Aden
  • Adin
  • Adon
  • Adyn
  • Aedan
  • Aeden
  • Aedin
  • Aedyn
  • Aidan
  • Aiden
  • Aidenn
  • Aidin
  • Aidon
  • Aidyn
  • Aidynn
  • Aiiden
  • Aiydan
  • Aiyden
  • Aydan
  • Aydann
  • Aydden
  • Ayden
  • Aydenn
  • Aydin
  • Aydn
  • Aydon
  • Aydyn
  • Ayeden
  • Ayiden


B:
  • Baden
  • Bayden
  • Bladen
  • Blaiden
  • Blayden
  • Bradan
  • Braden
  • Bradon
  • Bradyn
  • Braedan
  • Braeden
  • Braedon
  • Braedyn
  • Braiden
  • Braidon
  • Braidyn
  • Braydan
  • Brayden
  • Braydin
  • Braydn
  • Braydon
  • Braydyn
  • Breydan
  • Breyden
  • Breydon

C:
  • Cadan
  • Caden
  • Cadin
  • Cadon
  • Cadyn
  • Caedan
  • Caeden
  • Caedyn
  • Caidan
  • Caiden
  • Caidin
  • Caidon
  • Caidyn
  • Caiyden
  • Cayden
  • Caydin
  • Caydon
  • Chayden
  • Clayden
  • Claydon

D:
  • Daden
  • Daiden
  • Dayden
  • Dradyn
  • Draeden
  • Draedyn
  • Draiden
  • Drayden
  • Draydon
  • Dreyden
  • Dreydon

E:
  • Eaden
  • Eidan
  • Eiden
  • Eydan
  • Eyden

F:
  • Fayden

G:
  • Graden
  • Gradin
  • Gradyn
  • Graiden
  • Grayden
  • Graydon
  • Greyden
  • Greydon

H:
  • Haden
  • Hadyn
  • Haeden
  • Haedyn
  • Haiden
  • Haidyn
  • Haiyden
  • Haydan
  • Hayden
  • Haydin
  • Haydon
  • Haydyn
  • Heyden

I: none

J:
  • Jadan
  • Jaden
  • Jadin
  • Jadon
  • Jadyn
  • Jaedan
  • Jaeden
  • Jaedin
  • Jaedon
  • Jaedyn
  • Jaidan
  • Jaiden
  • Jaidin
  • Jaidon
  • Jaidyn
  • Jaiyden
  • Jaydan
  • Jaydden
  • Jayden
  • Jaydenn
  • Jaydin
  • Jaydon
  • Jaydyn
  • Jayeden
  • Jeiden
  • Jeydan
  • Jeyden
  • Jeydon
  • Jhayden

K:
  • Kadan
  • Kaden
  • Kadin
  • Kadon
  • Kadyn
  • Kaedan
  • Kaeden
  • Kaedin
  • Kaedon
  • Kaedyn
  • Kaidan
  • Kaiden
  • Kaidenn
  • Kaidin
  • Kaidon
  • Kaidyn
  • Kaiyden
  • Kaydan
  • Kayden
  • Kaydenn
  • Kaydin
  • Kaydn
  • Kaydon
  • Kaydyn
  • Kaydynn
  • Kayeden
  • Keaden
  • Keiden
  • Keidyn
  • Keyden
  • Khaden
  • Khaiden
  • Khaidyn
  • Khayden

L:
  • Laden
  • Ladon
  • Laiden
  • Layden
  • Laydon
  • Leyden

M: none

N:
  • Nayden

O: none

P:
  • Paden
  • Paiden
  • Payden

Q: none

R:
  • Raden
  • Radin
  • Raeden
  • Raedyn
  • Raidan
  • Raiden
  • Raidon
  • Raidyn
  • Raydan
  • Rayden
  • Raydin
  • Raydon
  • Raydyn
  • Reiden
  • Reyden

S:
  • Shaden
  • Shaeden
  • Shaiden
  • Shayden
  • Shaydon
  • Sladen
  • Slayden

T:
  • Taden
  • Taeden
  • Taedon
  • Taedyn
  • Taiden
  • Taidyn
  • Tayden
  • Teyden
  • Thayden
  • Traiden
  • Trayden
  • Treyden
  • Treydon

U: none

V:
  • Vaden
  • Vaiden
  • Vayden

W:
  • Waden
  • Wayden

X:
  • Xaden
  • Xaiden
  • Xaidyn
  • Xayden
  • Xaydin
  • Xhaiden
  • Xzaiden
  • Xzayden

Y:
  • Yaden
  • Yadon
  • Yaiden
  • Yeiden

Z:
  • Zaden
  • Zadyn
  • Zaedan
  • Zaeden
  • Zaedin
  • Zaedon
  • Zaedyn
  • Zaidan
  • Zaiden
  • Zaidon
  • Zaidyn
  • Zaiiden
  • Zaiyden
  • Zaydan
  • Zayden
  • Zaydenn
  • Zaydin
  • Zaydon
  • Zaydyn
  • Zhayden

3-syllable mash-ups:
  • Akaden
  • Dakaiden
  • Dekayden
  • Jacayden
  • Jakaden
  • Jakaiden
  • Jakayden
  • Zakaiden
Overall, about 273 names, comprising 3.37% of boys born last year. That's down on both counts from last year's 281 names, 3.68%. Could the -aidens finally be unseated by the next big name trend?

Sunday, May 7, 2017

Never Say 'Ever' Again...

Well, probably not. Since Everett (boys) and Everly (girls) are amongst the quickest rising names in the US (admittedly, that might change in a couple weeks, but I really doubt it, especially for Everly), I thought it'd be fun to see what other Ever- names we can find.
(And as amusing as they are to say, I'll be skipping some of the OE options that don't translate well into Modern English, like Evergrim and Everbald ;) )

Boys:
  • Everald (EV-er-ald, English)--from OE/Germanic, "boar power". Another form is Everaldo (Italian, Spanish, Portuguese).
  • Everard (EV-er-ard, English)--from OE/Germanic, "strong boar". Another form is Everardo (Italian, Spanish, Portuguese).  [the original form of Everett]
  • Everelm (EV-er-elm, [medieval] English)--from OE/Germanic, "boar helmet"
  • Everin (EH-veh-reen, [archaic] Swedish)--diminutive of Evert and other Ever-names, pretty much all of which are from OE/Germanic eofor/ebur, "boar"
  • Evermund (EV-er-mund, Old English)--"boar protection"
  • Everold (EH-ver-ohlt, Germanic)--"friendly boar"
  • Evert (AY-vert, EH-vert, Dutch, German, Swedish)--form of Everard/Everett
  • Everulf (EV-er-ulf, Old English)--"boar-wolf"
  • Everwin (EV-er-win, [medieval] English)--from OE/Germanic, "boar friend"

Girls:
  • Everalda (ev-eh-RAHLD-dah, Italian, Spanish, Portuguese)--feminine of Everaldo
  • Everarda (ev-eh-RAHR-dah, Dutch, Italian, Spanish, Portuguese)--feminine of Everardo/Everard
  • Everild (EV-er-ild, Old English)--"boar battle". Latinized form is Everilda (also the modern Spanish & Italian form). 
  • Everina (ev-eh-REE-nah, English, Scandinavian)--feminine of Evert/Everett or other Ever-names. Another form is Everine (Scandinavian).
  • Everta (eh-VEHR-tah, Swedish)--feminine of Evert/Everett. Another form is Everdina (Dutch).

Surname possibilities?
  • Everdon (EV-er-don)--"boar hill". Another form is Eversden.
  • Everest/Everist (EV-er-est)--from the area Évreux in France, prob. from Gaulish eburo, "yew". Another form is Everiss. [the mountain was named after a geographer with the surname Everest]
  • Everick (EV-er-ik)--prob. "boar ruler" [presumably a patronymic from something like Everic/Eoforic/Eberich, but with the exception of one early medieval King Eboric, I can't find any records of those or similar actually being used]
  • Everill/Everall/Everell (EV-er-ell)--prob. matronymic from Everild
  • Evers (EV-ers)--patronymic from Everard or another Ever-name
  • Eversley (EV-ers-lee)--"boar field" or "Ever/Eofor's field"
  • Everson (EV-er-son)--patronymic from Everard or another Ever-name
  • Everton (EV-er-ton)--"boar town"

Thursday, May 4, 2017

An Abundance of Nicknames

There are a few girls' that have arguably remained popular because of the wide variety of nicknames (or have they gotten so many nicknames because they're so popular? Hmmm...chicken or egg...). You can kind of guess the age of someone with one of those names based on which nickname she uses--Ellie is probably a small child, but Betty? She's the grandma.
It occurred to me that since there will always be a percentage of parents who prefer to just use the nickname as a full name, you could probably track when each diminutive was most popular simply with the SSA data.
So, that's what I did, for three classic, nickname-abundant girls' names. Some of the nicknames are now considered full names in their own rights, but I still threw them in because it's interesting.

First up is Margaret (the x-axis is year, obviously; the y-axis is % of girls born that year):

With the exception of Megan for a couple decades, Margaret has remained more popular than any of its nicknames or variants alone. However, it's pretty hard to see how the less-common forms have moved around! So here are the top 5 forms (minus Margaret herself):


And here're only the more "nicknamey" forms (that is, the ones generally not thought of as 'full names'):


Next up is Katherine. More than either of the others, Katherine probably has the most spelling variants, both for itself and its nicknames. However, I only used the most popular spelling for each form.

Whoa, Karen got really popular! So did Kathy! Again, the top 5 forms, excluding Katherine herself:

I'm actually surprised Katie is still so close to Kate in popularity. It seems so '80s to me.
Here are only the more "nicknamey" forms:
Kathy had quite the peak, didn't it? And Kate is now the most common nickname form, and second most common, after Katherine

Oh, deep breath. Here's comes the big one. Elizabeth

That's a lot of data. I'll think I'll break this one up into a few charts. 
Here are the top 5 forms overall, minus Elizabeth:

These are the top five "nicknamey" forms:

And the bottom 5:

Aw, poor Libby. Way down there where you can barely see her. 

And finally, just for fun, really, here are the less-common "full-name" forms:

Now, I'm guessing that my hypothesis doesn't always work out: for names less connected to their full forms (in English, anyway), the charts probably don't accurately reflect their usage as nicknames in the US--Kaia and Megan for example. But for the really "nicknamey" forms, I bet it comes pretty close. ;)


Sunday, April 30, 2017

2016 is soooo cloooose...

The SSA popularity lists, obviously. ;)
(if you want to skip the numbers babble, scroll down 'til you see the big bold "predictions!"

I've decided to try my hand at this prediction thing, using statistics, of course. I compared the lists from 2015 and 2010 to see which names had climbed the most--any name can have a fluke jump from one year to the next, but to continue to rise means it might have some staying power (or at least become a name that pinpoints a generation).

I started by finding the names that had the biggest ranking jumps, and no shocker--it was the all ones that surprised me in previous years. Can these names stand the test of time? It might still be too early to tell.
The observant reader may note that almost all are pop-culture inspired choices. :p
  1. Daleyza, unranked --> #236
  2. Cataleya, unranked --> #434
  3. Zendaya, unranked --> #800
  4. Khaleesi, unranked --> #814
  5. Dalary, unranked --> #911
  6. Kataleya, unranked --> #1149
  7. Cattleya, unranked --> #1621
  8. Daleysa, unranked --> #1935
  9. Merida, unranked --> #1986
  10. Adalind, unranked --> #2126
  11. Daenerys, unranked --> #2262
  12. Aaradhya, unranked --> #2287
  13. Yazaira, unranked --> #2287
  14. Jesiah, unranked --> #2568
  15. Vanellope, unranked --> #2596
  16. Arrow, unranked --> #2865
  17. Oaklynn, unranked --> #2986
  18. Oaklyn, unranked --> #3045
  19. Everlie, unranked --> #3076
  20. Janney, unranked --> #3152
  1. Jonael, unranked --> #918
  2. Viaan, unranked --> #1213
  3. Jionni, unranked --> #1218
  4. Jaycion, unranked --> #1792
  5. Jaiceon, unranked --> #1941
  6. Eivin, unranked --> #2074
  7. Nivaan, unranked --> #2224
  8. Finnick, unranked --> #2311
  9. True, unranked --> #2311
  10. Avyaan, unranked --> #2338
  11. Itzae, unranked --> #2417
  12. Jaceyon, unranked --> #2444
  13. Kroy, unranked --> #2444
  14. Jaceion, unranked --> #2471
  15. Jayceion, unranked --> #2588
  16. Gotham, unranked --> #2621
  17. Jacion, unranked --> #2621
  18. Rhydian, unranked --> #2621
  19. Johnluke, unranked --> #2752
  20. Aayansh, unranked --> #2793

So, yeah. While these did make big jumps, none of them are particularly popular. So how about the names that made the biggest rises since 2010 to end up in the Top 200?
  1. Everly, +1293 (#1431 --> #138)
  2. Raelynn, +450 (#627 --> #177)
  3. Aria, +324 (#353 --> #29)
  4. Adalynn, +323 (#446 --> #123)
  5. Mila, +311 (#364 --> #53)
  6. Luna, +232 (#342 --> #110)
  7. Athena, +205 (#362 --> #157)
  8. Emilia, +203 (#348 --> #145)
  9. Hazel, +200 (#263 --> #63)
  10. Kinsley, +194 (#307 --> #113)
  11. Paisley, +192 (#237 --> #45)
  12. Arabella, +192 (#386 --> #194)
  13. Cora, +188 (#276 --> #88)
  14. Adeline, +188 (#323 --> #135)
  15. Adelyn, +187 (#380 --> #193)
  16. Willow, +178 (#289 --> #111)
  17. Emery, +178 (#312 --> #134)
  18. Rose, +171 (#337 --> #166)
  19. Ivy, +170 (#299 --> #129)
  20. Penelope, +166 (#200 --> #34)
  21. Quinn, +157 (#254 --> #97)
  22. Isla, +156 (#297 --> #141)
  23. Ximena, +147 (#272 --> #125)
  24. Aubree, +145 (#223 --> #78)
  25. Skylar, +139 (#181 --> #42)
  1. Brantley, +615 (#736 --> #121)
  2. Iker, +456 (#646 --> #190)
  3. Jase, +422 (#604 --> #182)
  4. Maverick, +321 (#505 --> #184)
  5. Karter, +261 (#444 --> #183)
  6. Matteo, +238 (#429 --> #191)
  7. King, +236 (#399 --> #163)
  8. August, +232 (#427 --> #195)
  9. Abel, +168 (#293 --> #125)
  10. Jayce, +166 (#298 --> #132)
  11. Theodore, +162 (#261 --> #99)
  12. Declan, +162 (#274 --> #112)
  13. Ryker, +161 (#310 --> #149)
  14. Everett, +152 (#287 --> #135)
  15. Ezra, +150 (#242 --> #92)
  16. Zayden, +144 (#337 --> #193)
  17. Greyson, +138 (#249 --> #111)
  18. Mateo, +137 (#222 --> #85)
  19. Emmett, +134 (#273 --> #139)
  20. Jameson, +133 (#277 --> #144)
  21. Lincoln, +131 (#197 --> #66)
  22. Bennett, +126 (#279 --> #153)
  23. Harrison, +114 (#233 --> #119)
  24. Luca, +113 (#270 --> #157)
  25. Graham, +106 (#282 --> #176)
I find it interesting how the girls' jumps are more extreme, and that also more girls' names made it into the Top 100, not just the Top 200 (not to mention the 3 different iterations of Adeline).
Another indication of how girls' names tend to be more trend-driven, I suppose?

It's actually pretty easy for lower-ranking names to gain quite a bit in a short time, mostly because all the names further down the list tend to be pretty close in usage numbers, while the higher up you get, the more names break away from the pack. So lets see which names gained the most in actual usage (by % of babies born, 2015 Top 200 only):
  1. Harper, +0.40%
  2. Charlotte, +0.31%
  3. Aria, +0.28%
  4. Scarlett, +0.23%
  5. Amelia, +0.23%
  6. Penelope, +0.23%
  7. Mia, +0.22%
  8. Mila, +0.20%
  9. Paisley, +0.19%
  10. Skylar, +0.18%
  11. Evelyn, +0.18%
  12. Sofia, +0.18%
  13. Nora, +0.18%
  14. Emma, +0.17%
  15. Hazel, +0.16%
  16. Olivia, +0.14%
  17. Avery, +0.14%
  18. Eleanor, +0.13%
  19. Violet, +0.12%
  20. Aubree, +0.12%
  1. Liam, +0.37%
  2. Oliver, +0.35%
  3. Grayson, +0.22%
  4. Jaxon, +0.21%
  5. Lincoln, +0.2%
  6. Henry, +0.19%
  7. Mateo, +0.17%
  8. Noah, +0.16%
  9. Sebastian, +0.16%
  10. Hudson, +0.16%
  11. Brantley, +0.15%
  12. Ezra, +0.14%
  13. Jaxson, +0.14%
  14. Theodore, +0.14%
  15. Carter, +0.13%
  16. Jace, +0.13%
  17. Leo, +0.13%
  18. Easton, +0.12%
  19. Levi, +0.12%
  20. Wyatt, +0.12%
If you're thinking that a lot of these seem like rehashed lists from the past few years' analyses, you're pretty much right. So I'm going to try something new: to not only look at the most rising names (by %), but also the names around them, and try to predict how the rankings will change.

Here the result, my predictions for 2016:

The new Top 20!

1.
Emma, no change
Noah, no change
2.
Olivia, no change
Liam, no change
3.
Sophia, no change
Mason, no change
4.
Ava, no change
William, +1
5.
Mia, +1
James, +2
6.
Isabella, -1
Jacob, -2
7.
Charlotte, +2
Ethan, -1
8.
Abigail, -1
Alexander, no change
9.
Harper, +1
Benjamin, +1
10.
Emily, -2
Michael, -1
11.
Amelia, +1
Elijah, no change
12.
Sofia, +2
Aiden, +1
13.
Evelyn, +2
Oliver, +6
14.
Avery, +2
Daniel, -2
15.
Elizabeth, -2
Logan, -1
16.
Madison, -5
Lucas, no change
17.
Scarlett, +5
Matthew, -2
18.
Victoria, +2
Jackson, -1
19.
Aubrey, +2
Carter, +5
20.
Grace, -1
David, -2


Here are the names I think will move into and out of the Top 100:

In:
Out:
Elena
Alexis
Eliana
Alyssa
Hadley
Ashley
Kinsley
Brianna
Luna
Gianna
Willow
Khloe


Roman
Nathaniel


And perhaps even more fun, the Top 1000:

In:
Out:
Aadhya
Abril
Addalyn
Alissa
Aliah
Aliya
Amora
America
Anais
Asia
Anniston
Breanna
Antonella
Dana
Antonia
Denise
Ari
Emmalee
Aubri
Halle
August
Heather
Ayva
Ireland
Belle
Jaida
Chandler
Janiya
Charleston
Jasmin
Dani
Jayden
Ellery
Jaylin
Ellianna
Jenny
Etta
Jocelynn
Everlee
Kaitlynn
Harleigh
Kayden
Jana
Kiana
Kaidence
Kiley
Kaylani
Kimora
Londynn
Libby
Mavis
Luz
Mercy
Mariyah
Mylah
Mollie
Paisleigh
Moriah
Poppy
Natalee
Ramona
Nataly

Princess

Saniyah

Sharon

Sidney

Tabitha

Wendy

Yasmin


Abner
Antoine
Alaric
Aydan
Alistair
Braiden
Braylin
Brenden
Brysen
Camren
Danilo
Chace
Decker
Cristopher
Foster
Davin
Fox
Deshawn
Gatlin
Ean
Harlem
Frankie
Imran
Freddy
Ira
Gilbert
Jericho
Jadon
Keanu
Jamarion
Khalid
Jaydon
Koda
Jayvion
Kooper
Jessie
Mccoy
Jordyn
Merrick
Jovani
Rayyan
Kaeden
Simeon
Kamron
Tadeo
Malaki
Taj
Marquis
Wesson
Osvaldo
Westley
Rashad
Yaakov
Rolando
Zamir
Todd

Triston

Tyree

Ulises

Okay! Only a couple weeks or so to go, and we'll see how good (or terribly!) I did. :D